20:28ZTWOMAJORSColonel Pinchuk survived assassination attempt, three seconds saved his life20:21ZMEGATRONROUAE to release $10 billion in frozen Iranian oil revenues20:20ZCORRIEREDEThree climbers killed in Gran Paradiso accident20:19ZCLASHREPORDOJ approves Paramount Skydance's $111B takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery with no conditions20:18ZWFWITNESSIranian Foreign Minister says memorandum of understanding to be signed remotely20:16ZDDGEOPOLITIran soccer team training in Mexico; 13 delegation members lack visas20:16ZDDGEOPOLITIranian foreign minister outlines legal framework proposal for Hormuz Strait20:15ZOSINTLIVESkyFall, Airbus sign strategic defense partnership memo20:28ZTWOMAJORSColonel Pinchuk survived assassination attempt, three seconds saved his life20:21ZMEGATRONROUAE to release $10 billion in frozen Iranian oil revenues20:20ZCORRIEREDEThree climbers killed in Gran Paradiso accident20:19ZCLASHREPORDOJ approves Paramount Skydance's $111B takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery with no conditions20:18ZWFWITNESSIranian Foreign Minister says memorandum of understanding to be signed remotely20:16ZDDGEOPOLITIran soccer team training in Mexico; 13 delegation members lack visas20:16ZDDGEOPOLITIranian foreign minister outlines legal framework proposal for Hormuz Strait20:15ZOSINTLIVESkyFall, Airbus sign strategic defense partnership memo
The market is betting on AI. Everyone else is asking for a refund.
Polymarket odds suggest investors have priced artificial intelligence as a near-certain winner. The same prediction markets give only a 23% chance Google has the best model by June. That gap tells a story the bulls would rather not read.
Polymarket odds suggest investors have priced artificial intelligence as a near-certain winner. / The Guardian / Photography
Desk note: Wire coverage of the Google "disregard" incident led with user-experience framing; Monexus framed it against the Polymarket market-implication data, treating the pricing odds as primary evidence of how investors vs users processed the same event.
