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US-Iran Talks Are Priced In. The Hard Part Isn't.
Oil markets are betting on a ceasefire. Polymarket bettors aren't betting on substance. The gap between the two tells us more about the real state of US-Iran diplomacy than either signal alone.
Wire provenance
This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:
- http://reut.rs/4tRMYW4
© 2026 Monexus Media · reported from the wire
