Live Wire

12:37ZENGLISHABUSignificant report: The Hezbollah Golan portfolio holder has been eliminated Hezbollah was supposed to begin…12:37ZWFWITNESSIsraeli strikes have been reported across southern Lebanon since midnight:Airstrikes: Nabatieh Al-Fawqa (x3)Q…12:36ZWFWITNESSFox: A diplomat involved in the US-Iran negotiations told Fox News that today’s strikes in Beirut are creatin…12:35ZTHECANARYUUK PM hopeful Al Carns threatens more austerity to benefit arms companies, former ministers say12:35ZWFWITNESS3 killed, 15 injured in Israeli airstrike on Beirut suburb of Dahieh12:35ZDAILYNATIODetectives responded to vehicle owner's distress call, says Mvita police commander12:34ZTASNIMNEWSIran parliament speaker says US green light for Israeli Dahiya strikes ends diplomatic path12:34ZCLASHREPORIran's Ghalibaf accuses Israel of violating obligations in southern Lebanon

Markets

S&P 500741.75▲ 0.54%Nasdaq25,889▲ 0.31%Nasdaq 10029,636▲ 0.64%Dow513.06▲ 0.73%Nikkei92.71▲ 0.57%China 5035.29▲ 1.09%Europe89.62▲ 0.18%DAX42.31▲ 0.09%BTC$64,340▲ 0.58%ETH$1,669▼ 0.51%BNB$611.34▲ 0.67%XRP$1.14▼ 0.91%SOL$67.86▲ 0.08%TRX$0.3178▲ 0.37%HYPE$60.98▲ 3.17%DOGE$0.0867▼ 1.46%LEO$9.72▲ 0.95%RAIN$0.0131▲ 0.48%QQQ$721.34▲ 0.59%VOO$681.95▲ 0.55%VTI$366.36▲ 0.57%IWM$292.95▲ 0.87%ARKK$75.65▲ 0.25%HYG$79.94▪ 0.00%Gold$386.54▲ 0.06%Silver$61.29▲ 0.77%WTI Crude$125.43▼ 2.64%Brent$47.82▼ 2.67%Nat Gas$11.35▲ 1.70%Copper$39.55▲ 1.57%EUR/USD1.1567▪ 0.00%GBP/USD1.3402▪ 0.00%USD/JPY160.20▪ 0.00%USD/CNY6.7623▪ 0.00%

CLOSEDNYSEopens in 1d 0h 50m

← The MonexusOpinion

The Anthropic premium is shrinking, and the prediction markets noticed first

Polymarket traders price an 83% chance that Anthropic reaches the public markets before OpenAI — a bet that says less about which lab is winning the model race than about which one is winning the cash-flow race.

By Monexus Staff Writer·americas·1-minute read·11 Jun 2026·Live on the wire ↗

Polymarket traders price an 83% chance that Anthropic reaches the public markets before OpenAI — a bet that says less about which lab is winning the model race than about which one is winning the cash-flow race. DECRYPT · via Monexus Wire

Sources

https://polymarket.com/event/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first/will-anthropic-or-openai-ipo-first?via=x-afr2 — Polymarket — "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?" — 2026-06-11
https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by?via=x-afr2 — Polymarket — "Anthropic IPO by end of October 2026?" — 2026-06-10
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/... — Unusual Whales (X) — relaying WSJ report on OpenAI pricing — 2026-06-11
https://x.com/polymarket/status/... — Polymarket (X) — market update on OpenAI pricing report — 2026-06-11

© 2026 Monexus Media · reported from the wire