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Tehran's 48-hour whiplash: how close is the U.S.–Iran deal, really?
A reported framework, a near-miss memorandum, and a fresh precondition landed inside two days. The deal that seemed imminent on Thursday is, by Saturday, conditional again.

Wire provenance
This editorial synthesis draws on the following public wire/social posts:
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/1
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/2
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/3
- https://x.com/polymarket/status/4
- https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/5
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